Eurovision: Pat Sharp predicts UK will score poorly
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Research from all 67 previous editions of the contest reveals a typical winner to be a 27-year-old female solo artist that sings in English. And from the line-up of the 2021 Eurovision Song Contest acts, Cyprus’ Elena Tsagrinou most closely matches the average champion. Will she defy the odds and be crowned the winner on Saturday night? Fans will have to tune into BBC on the weekend to find out, but in the meantime, Express.co.uk has rounded up the data on why Cyprus might win.
The study, from Bookmakers.tv, looks at various characteristics of all 67 past champions, finding the average winner is a female soloist, nearing their 27th birthday.
And, at 26 years of age, Cypriot representative Elena Tsagrinou almost perfectly matches the key characteristics for Eurovision glory – especially as she’s due to sing in English.
The findings reveal that 50 previous winners were individual artists, and 38 of those have been female – including the United Kingdom’s very own Sandie Shaw (in 1967) and Lulu (1969).
So, the UK may be in for another ‘null points’ with 35-year-old James Newman a very different representative, compared to a historical winner.
But, it could have been worse for the UK if they had selected an all-female group as their representative.
Just once in the entire history of the competition has a girl group claimed victory (Norway in 1985), suggesting Serbia’s Hurricane have little chance of taking Europe by storm this time around.
Looking at the song itself, other recipes for success include all-English song lyrics (31 wins in total), and an average song length of 213 words sung over three minutes and four seconds.
A Bookmakers.tv spokesperson commented: “Historical research demonstrates a subtle science to selecting a winning Eurovision entrant.
“Solo females have proved undeniably popular, whereas single-gender groups or those singing in anything other than English tend to struggle.
“France’s Babara Pravi is the 17/5 favourite, and she also very closely matches the description of a typical winner, but while she sounds like another safe bet, the fact that her song is in French may count against her. Instead, there looks to be far more value in a Cypriot victory at 31/1.
“The United Kingdom’s James Newman currently sits at a distant 299/1, and given our research, you can see why.”
Could this theory prove to be correct for 2021? At the moment, countries with the best odds include France, Italy, Malta, Switzerland, Ukraine, Iceland and Bulgaria.
Other theories of potential underdogs state that Azerbaijan’s entry, Efendi, could snatch victory from the favourites.
According to European Broadcasting Union, the starlet competed in The Silk Way Star in 2017 – a huge international singing competition.
She also represented the country at The Voice of Nur-Sultan and it has taken five attempts for the act to represent Azerbaijan in the competition.
Malta’s chosen performer, Destiny, is also being noticed as a potentially victorious entry.
The singer once appeared on Britain’s Got Talent, where she finished sixth in the second semi-final of the shows.
Despite being among the favourites, Malta isn’t currently the favourite – but could Destiny seize the winning title?
The Eurovision Song Contest final airs at 8pm on Saturday on BBC One.
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