UK weather: Cold and icy conditions forecast by Met Office

A brutal cold front is forecast to smash into the UK from a northerly direction from the Arctic this week and last at least two weeks until February 10. Central parts of Scotland could be blasted with a staggering 42inches (104cm) on Tuesday, February 9 at 12pm, the latest snow depth models from WXCHARTS show. Before that, February 1 could start with 19 inches (50cm) in the same region.

Saturday, February 6 is then expected to see 31 inches (80cm) in eastern areas of Scotland.

Snow could also fall in western parts of England over the next couple of weeks, with (13cm) hitting the Lake District in the north west on Wednesday, February 3.

Plymouth in the south west may also be blasted with (16cm) on Friday, February 5.

Temperatures could also plunge as low as -12C in central Scotland on Saturday, February 6.

Cumbria in the north west could see -7C hit on Thursday, February 4, while Manchester and Stoke are hit with -4C.

London and Luton are likely to average 0C next week, while Bristol is hit with -2C on Saturday, February 6.

Northern Scotland may also see bitter lows of -10C on the same say, while eastern parts are hit with -11C.

Dr Claire Kennedy-Edwards, a Senior Meteorologist at The Weather Company, warned wintry conditions potentially being caused by a split in the polar vortex at the start of next month.

She told “Our latest forecast for February indicates it will be an increasingly cold month – colder than average across the UK.

“This is due to a weak stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) and related impacts of a recent sudden stratospheric warming event.

“The weak vortex and wind reversal high in the stratosphere forces the jet stream further south and this allows colder air from the Arctic to move south to mid-latitudes.

“Another disruption or split in the vortex is possible at the end of January and early February.

“These disruptions to the vortex usually lead to North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) conditions which we are currently experiencing now.

“These NAO conditions mean colder drier spells and more likely across parts of Northern and North Eastern Europe, wetter and milder over Southern Europe.”

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Dr Kennedy-Edwards added more snow could batter the UK next month as colder conditions develop.

She said: “We are expecting February to start mixed and relatively mild especially over southern regions of the UK but remaining colder than normal in the north.

“Our latest forecast signals colder conditions moving across the UK from the north and east of Europe as February progresses.

“With NAO conditions expected to continue into February our forecast for the month ‘as a whole’ is colder and drier than normal.

“The greater risk of any snow events coming in mid to late February but confidence is low in this at present and much depends on events in the stratosphere at the end of January.

“A defined split in the SPV end of January could bring a much colder end to winter for the UK.”

The BBC’s long-range forecast between Monday, February 8 and Sunday, February 21 added the UK will turn colder as the month progresses.

The forecast said: “As we head into the second and third weeks of February, we will likely see a gradual pattern shift away from the more unsettled weather of January to a drier, colder picture.

“This is because the high pressure system in Greenland from early February will strengthen enough to eventually push lows into South Europe.

“Therefore, Spain and Italy will get all the wet and windy weather.

“For the UK, the colder air mass will move in from the north and bring temperatures consistently below average.

“This will also be a drier air mass, so rain (or snow rather) is not expected to be as frequent.”

The Met Office added northerly winds could strike at the start of February.

The forecast between Friday, January 29 and Sunday, February 7 said: “While mild westerly and southwesterly winds are expected to be dominant for most of the period, occasional colder northerly winds are possible, bringing a chance of snowfall, likely confined to the far northern parts.

“Towards the end of the period, we may see high pressure bringing a higher than average chance of cold weather more widely with wintry outbreaks.

“If this were to occur many inland and southern areas would likely see drier than average conditions, with some overnight of frost and fog.”

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